Title
When are tax multipliers large?
Abstract
I show that the US tax multiplier depends on the direction of the tax change. The tax multiplier is significantly larger (in absolute value) for tax hikes than for tax cuts – regardless of whether I identify tax shocks via (i) the narrative approach or (ii) sign restrictions. The tax hike multiplier is strongly pro-cyclical, i.e., substantially larger in expansions. Variation in the tax cut multiplier over the business cycle is milder and statistically insignificant. A simple business cycle model with downward nominal wage rigidities can explain these results.
Keywords
Fiscal policyTax multiplier
Object type
Language
English [eng]
Persistent identifier
https://phaidra.univie.ac.at/o:2044821
Appeared in
Title
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume
158
ISSN
0165-1889
Issued
2024
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Date issued
2024
Access rights
Rights statement
© 2023 The Author(s)

Download

University of Vienna | Universitätsring 1 | 1010 Vienna | T +43-1-4277-0